|
In 2013,
FAS/Moscow forecasts broiler production to increase by an additional 7.3 per
cent, and turkey production to increase by an additional five per cent, when
compared to 2012. This positive trend in production is due, in large
part, to favourable ongoing government support programmes.
Significant agricultural establishments, the main producers
of Russian broilers, increased production by 15.5 per cent, to 2.14 MMT, on a
live weight basis, in the first half of 2012. As a result, FAS/Moscow forecasts broiler
imports to remain flat in 2013 after anticipated growth of 3 per cent in 2012
(due to an increase in substitution of broiler meat for more expensive pork and
beef), when compared to 2011.
Nearly all
of Russia’s exports of
broiler products consist of chicken paws to Asia.
However, Russia exported
$29.2 million worth of poultry meat and offal to its Customs Union (CU)
partners (i.e., $27.4 million to Kazakhstan
and $1.8 million to Belarus)
in January-May 2012.
FAS/Moscow’s
import forecast for broiler meat in 2012 was increased by 3.0 per cent to
515,000 MTs due to a significant increase in imports from Ukraine (which grew
from 5,171 MT in January-June 2011 to 7,430 MT in January-June 2012) and a
higher volume 2012 broiler TRQ (which will increase from 350,000 MT in 2011 to
364,000 MT in 2012). Moreover, FAS/Moscow forecasts Russian broiler imports to
grow another 3.0 per cent in 2013, as a result of growing duty free and
quota-free imports from Ukraine
and Belarus.
According
to Global Trade Atlas (GTA), Russia
imported 191,245 MT of broiler products in January - June 2012, a 17 per cent increase
over the same period in 2011.
Given the increase in domestic production, it is
anticipated that domestic production will satisfy the needs of the Russian
consumers. In fact, it is expected that domestic production, plus imports
equivalent to the Russian poultry import TRQ volume (i.e., 330,000 MT which is
anticipated to be fully utilized), plus the 70,000 MT of poultry meat already
imported from CU member-countries (mainly Belarus) this year, will exceed the
needs of the country. The volume of poultry available in the Russian market is
expected to increase price competition within the country which may, in turn,
encourage poultry exports.
|
